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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
43.59% ( 0.2) | 26.93% ( -0.1) | 29.49% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( 0.34) | 55.54% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.29% ( 0.28) | 76.71% ( -0.28) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.25) | 25.29% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.95% ( 0.35) | 60.06% ( -0.34) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( 0.11) | 33.95% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( 0.12) | 70.63% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |