Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.