Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.