MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 02:12:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 18, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
0 - 1
Monterrey


Arce (62'), Garnica (79'), Oliveros (80')
Garnica (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cortizo (57')
Canales (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey

After an excellent result on the weekend, Necaxa should be confident of ending their five-game losing run against Monterrey on Wednesday night. Rayados need to bounce back quickly following a humbling defeat on Sunday, but we feel that Ortiz's troops will fall just short at Estadio Victoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monterrey in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
26.58% (-0.455 -0.46) 25.37% (0.497 0.5) 48.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-1.936 -1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-2.362 -2.36)51.04% (2.365 2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-2.11 -2.11)72.9% (2.115 2.12)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-1.616 -1.62)33.83% (1.619 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-1.788 -1.79)70.5% (1.791 1.79)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.976 -0.98)21.26% (0.978 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-1.534 -1.53)54.17% (1.536 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 26.58%
    Monterrey 48.04%
    Draw 25.37%
NecaxaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.394 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.659 0.66)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.71 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.307 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48.04%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Monterrey

Necaxa
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Monterrey
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Necaxa
2-5
Monterrey
Cambindo (59'), Jurado (90+6')
Mayorga (39'), Fentanes (40'), Arce (74'), Arce (76')
Gudino (78')
Berterame (50'), Canales (52', 64'), Gonzalez (81'), Vazquez (86')
Vegas (41'), Gomez (44')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Monterrey
3-0
Necaxa
Vegas (45+1'), Berterame (54'), Lopez (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 11.06pm
Gameweek 8
Monterrey
2-1
Necaxa
Funes Mori (60'), Berterame (90+2')
Mendez (73' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-2
Monterrey
Garnica (37')
Aguirre (56'), Gonzalez (77')
Jan 15, 2022 3am
Gameweek 2
Necaxa
0-4
Monterrey

Salas (49')
Funes Mori (4'), Meza (23'), Vergara (44'), Gallardo (67')
Vegas (25'), Vergara (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul119112681828
2Tigres11731156924
3TolucaToluca1063121101121
4MonterreyMonterrey126331514121
5Atletico San Luis126241913620
6Club TijuanaTijuana116231717020
7PumasPumas106131410419
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa113441311213
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla123271420-611
13PachucaPachuca112361119-89
14QueretaroQueretaro12237920-119
15MazatlanMazatlan11155813-58
16Club Leon101541016-68
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
18Juarez102171223-117


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