Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pachuca in this match.