Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
