Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.