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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Club Leon

Pumas
4 - 1
Club Leon

Ruvalcaba (11', 88'), Cervantes (26' og.), Martinez (80')
Lopez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alvarado (31')
Guerra (61'), Frias (74'), Bellon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Pumas and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Pumas
Monday, May 13 at 2am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX

We said: Pumas 2-1 Club Leon

 In what should certainly be a hard-fought encounter as both sides bid to make a winning start to the season, we see Pumas having slightly more quality throughout their squad than Club Leon, even with several absentees, and back them to come out on top with home advantage on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawClub Leon
44.15% (0.624 0.62) 24.8% (-0.16 -0.16) 31.05% (-0.461 -0.46)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88% (0.52200000000001 0.52)46.13% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58% (0.489 0.49)68.42% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.502 0.5)20.95% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.779 0.78)53.7% (-0.776 -0.78)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.058 -0.06)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 44.15%
    Club Leon 31.05%
    Draw 24.8%
PumasDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.05%

How you voted: Pumas vs Club Leon

Pumas
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Club Leon
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2024 1am
Gameweek 15
Pumas
1-0
Club Leon
Quispe (68')
Ergas (90+4')

Guerra (72')
Medina (64')
Nov 1, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 15
Club Leon
1-1
Pumas
Rodriguez (59')
Romero (2'), Frias (68')
Fernandez (44')
Ergas (28'), Tabo (90+4')
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Pumas
4-1
Club Leon
Del Prete (9'), Diogo (45+4'), Dinenno (59', 87')
Di Yorio (27')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 2
Club Leon
3-3
Pumas
Feb 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Pumas
2-1
Club Leon
Rogerio (24'), Ortiz (45+2')
Meritao (62'), Corozo (90+1')
Mozo (82')
Colombatto (20')
Martinez (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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