Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 1Tijuana
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Puebla
Wednesday, August 3 at 2am in Liga MX
Wednesday, August 3 at 2am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Tigres | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Puebla | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
53.95% ( -0.32) | 24.98% ( 0.14) | 21.07% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.38% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.7% ( -0.31) | 54.3% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.31% ( -0.26) | 75.69% ( 0.26) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.25) | 20.1% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.65% ( -0.4) | 52.36% ( 0.4) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.02) | 40.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.72% ( 0.02) | 77.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 53.93%
Club Tijuana 21.07%
Draw 24.98%
| Toluca | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.93% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.07% |
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca
Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Oct 25, 2020 6pm
