Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Aug 3, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1Puebla
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, July 30 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 30 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 13 |
3 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 13 |
4 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Last Game: Puebla 0-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Puebla | 6 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Club Leon | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
41.4% ( 2.29) | 25.18% ( -0.54) | 33.42% ( -1.74) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.03% ( 2.08) | 46.98% ( -2.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( 1.91) | 69.22% ( -1.9) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% ( 2.08) | 22.6% ( -2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% ( 3) | 56.2% ( -3) |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( -0.06) | 26.95% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% ( -0.07) | 62.29% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 41.4%
Puebla 33.42%
Draw 25.17%
Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.49) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.42% |
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Rodriguez (62')
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Aug 29, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
4-1
Toluca
Ormeno (31'), Alvarez (40'), Gonzalez (81'), Escoto (90')
Alvarez (40')
Alvarez (40')
Feb 22, 2020 3am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-05 13:54:52
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 40 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 32 |
3 | Tigres | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 30 |
4 | MonterreyMonterrey | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 26 |
6 | PumasPumas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 25 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 24 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
10 | Atlas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 17 |
12 | PueblaPuebla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 14 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 |
14 | PachucaPachuca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 13 |
15 | MazatlanMazatlan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Juarez | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
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