Tijuana
3 - 2
Toluca

Manotas (13'), Martinez (21'), Sansores (24')
Lorona (43'), Manotas (74'), Tercero (86')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Canelo (37'), Barbieri (53')
Canelo (56'), Torres (67'), Sambueza (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
44.55%	27.69%	27.76%

Both teams to score 46.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95%

59.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.51%

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.55%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8%

37.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01%

73.98%

Score Analysis

Club Tijuana 44.54%

Toluca 27.76%

Draw 27.68%

Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.07% 2-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 44.54%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 6.4% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.76%