Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
48.16% | 25.69% | 26.15% |
Both teams to score 50.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.42% | 52.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% | 74.23% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% | 21.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% | 55.07% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% | 35.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% | 71.75% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |