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World Cup
Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Ecuador national football team

Chile
0 - 0
Ecuador


Loyola (84')
FT

Plata (85'), Ordonez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Chile and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

Ecuador

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

We said: Chile 0-0 Ecuador

 Chile must win their final three home games if they are to remain in contention for the playoff spot, but this will be a devilishly difficult assignment against an Ecuador side that very few teams have managed to beat of late. A superior goal difference and a margin of nine points over Bolivia means Ecuador will certainly be breathing a lot easier now, but they will still want to finish strongly, and they should extend their impressive unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
ChileDrawEcuador
62.79% (-2.239 -2.24) 21.97% (0.873 0.87) 15.24% (1.367 1.37)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (-0.889 -0.89)50.86% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (-0.787 -0.79)72.74% (0.789 0.79)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (-1.014 -1.01)15.63% (1.015 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (-1.917 -1.92)44.65% (1.918 1.92)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (1.447 1.45)45.67% (-1.445 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (1.112 1.11)81.46% (-1.111 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Chile 62.78%
    Ecuador 15.24%
    Draw 21.96%
ChileDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 12.29% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.557 -0.56)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.395 -0.4)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.78%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.413 0.41)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.6% (0.412 0.41)
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.319 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 15.24%

How you voted: Chile vs Ecuador

Chile
25.4%
Draw
15.5%
Ecuador
59.2%
71
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 11.30pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-0
Chile
Mena (21')
Torres (36'), Preciado (61')

Pulgar (44'), Echeverria (62')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2021 12.15am
Group Stage
Chile
0-2
Ecuador
Meneses (55')
Vidal (14')
Castillo (26'), Franco (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-0
Chile
Valencia (21')
Sornoza (63')
Vegas (13'), Roco (58'), Vargas (71')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2019 12am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Chile
Valencia (26' pen.)
Mendez (3'), Mena (34'), Arboleda (78'), Gruezo (81'), Velasco (96')
Achilier (89')
Fuenzalida (8'), Sanchez (51')
Arias (44'), Beausejour (52'), Isla (82'), Vidal (86')
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Chile
2-1
Ecuador
Vargas (22'), Sanchez (85')
Ibarra (82')
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