Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
