Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
61.12% | 21.4% | 17.48% |
Both teams to score 52.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% | 44.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.99% | 67.01% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.88% | 14.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.25% | 41.75% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.94% | 39.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.22% | 75.78% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.18% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |