Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Dijon | Draw | Nantes |
21.93% | 26.36% | 51.71% |
Both teams to score 44.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.62% | 58.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% | 78.98% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.85% | 42.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.44% | 78.56% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% | 22.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% | 56.37% |
Score Analysis |
Dijon | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 5.3% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.13% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.93% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 14.18% 0-2 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.7% Total : 51.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |