Ligue 2 | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique
Bordeaux3 - 2Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bordeaux and Pau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concarneau 4-2 Bordeaux
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
47
Last Game: Pau 1-2 Bastia
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Pau |
57.92% ( 0.97) | 22.63% ( -0.22) | 19.45% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.1) | 46.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( -0.1) | 69.15% ( 0.09) |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 0.3) | 15.91% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.85% ( 0.54) | 45.15% ( -0.54) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.86) | 38.16% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.08% ( -0.84) | 74.92% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
Bordeaux 57.91%
Pau 19.45%
Draw 22.63%
| Bordeaux | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.91% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.45% |
