Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Pau had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.