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[monks data]
Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Millwall

Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')

Preview: Middlesbrough vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chris Wilder will take charge of his first match as Middlesbrough manager when his new side play host to Millwall on Saturday afternoon.

Despite sitting five places adrift of their next opponents, Boro will move ahead of the ninth-placed Lions with victory at the Riverside Stadium.


Match preview

Sheffield United manager Chris Wilder pictured on March 6, 2021© Reuters

On the back of securing a more-than-respectable 1-1 draw at West Bromwich Albion, Middlesbrough made the surprise decision to part ways with Neil Warnock.

The opportunity to appoint former Sheffield United boss Wilder may have been regarded as one too good to turn down, especially with Boro down in 14th position in the table.

Nevertheless, Wilder begins his new job with his team sitting just four points adrift of the playoffs, a scenario that he will relish when he will likely be given backing in January.

Josh Coburn was the major plus point during Warnock's final two matches in charge, the young striker netting in successive games for the first time in his professional career.

A more pressing point for Wilder is the club's defensive record with six strikes having been conceded in three outings.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Millwall were also no strangers to inconsistency earlier in the season, the Lions prevailing in just one of their first nine matches.

However, Gary Rowett's team have since posted five wins from eight, moving the East London outfit to within one point of the playoffs.

Rowett and his squad are aware that one setback could see them drop back into the bottom half of the table, but there is a feeling that Millwall are building some much-needed momentum.

That is despite their 1-1 draw at home to Derby County, Millwall failing to find a winner while at a player advantage during the closing 27 minutes.

Middlesbrough Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Millwall Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Millwall's Shaun Hutchinson celebrates after scoring their first goal on March 13, 2021© Reuters

Having had almost two weeks to work with his squad, Wilder must decide whether to make any alterations to the team which drew with West Brom.

A number of players have continued to make progress in their recovery from injury, while Onel Hernandez and Andraz Sporar are both alternatives in attacking positions.

Matt Crooks is also available again after serving a one-match suspension for five yellow cards.

Shaun Hutchinson and George Evans are both expected to come back into contention for Millwall after injury.

The pair, along with the likes of Sheyi Ojo and Matt Smith, are all pushing for a recall after some of their teammates misfired versus the Rams.

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Daniels; Howson, Hall, Bamba; Jones, McNair, Payero, Tavernier, Peltier; Watmore, Coburn

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Ballard, Cooper, Wallace; Leonard, Mitchell, Saville, Malone; Wallace, Ojo; Smith


SM words green background

We say: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Regardless of Wilder's presence, Millwall are good value to collect at least a point in the North-East this weekend. Nevertheless, Boro were not necessarily playing badly under Warnock, and that leads us to predict a narrow home victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Millwall
20.0%
30
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Sheffield United manager Chris Wilder pictured on September 27, 2020
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Middlesbrough appoint Chris Wilder as new manager
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
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3 Hungary Hungary31023
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Group B

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4 Serbia Serbia30212

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