Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
27.02% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() | 51.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% (![]() | 33.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.25% (![]() | 55.74% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% (![]() | 24.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% (![]() | 58.98% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% (![]() | 13.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% (![]() | 40.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.02% | 1-1 @ 9.34% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 9.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |