Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
We said: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville SC
Both teams come into this match in excellent form, so there is not a great deal to split the sides.
However, we think that the hosts will edge this contest considering they have won their last five at home across all competitions, while Nashville have only won once on the road all season.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 42.05% . A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.08%) . The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood .
Result Charlotte FC Draw Nashville SC 42.05% ( 1.17) 27.93% ( 0.26) 30.02% ( -1.43)
Both teams to score 46.74% ( -1.27)
41.02% ( -1.35) 58.98% ( 1.34)
20.55% ( -1.05) 79.45% ( 1.05)
72.31% ( 0) 27.68% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.76% ( 0.01) 63.23% ( -0.01)
64.63% ( -1.77) 35.37% ( 1.76)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.87% ( -1.88) 72.13% ( 1.88)
Charlotte FC 42.04%
Nashville SC 30.02%
Draw 27.93%
Charlotte FC Draw Nashville SC 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 42.04% 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.93% 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.02%
How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville
Charlotte FC
Draw
Nashville SC
7
rhs 2.0
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