Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.