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Atlanta United
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Minato Soccer Stadium
Chicago Fire

Dallas
1 - 3
Chicago Fire

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutman (82'), Jose Caetano Barroso (84'), Cuypers (90+1' pen.)
Pineda (45+1'), Gutierrez (71'), Barlow (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 3-3 Dallas
Sunday, March 2 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Chicago Fire

While the most recent two meetings between Dallas and Chicago Fire have ended goalless, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Toyota Stadium this weekend as both sides go all out in search of maximum points. Home advantage gives Quill's side an extra edge here and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawChicago Fire
48.32% (0.474 0.47) 23.33% (-0.254 -0.25) 28.35% (-0.222 -0.22)
Both teams to score 60.31% (0.733 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (1.038 1.04)40.87% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (1.053 1.05)63.26% (-1.056 -1.06)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.578 0.58)17.14% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (1.01 1.01)47.37% (-1.012 -1.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (0.378 0.38)27.21% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (0.491 0.49)62.63% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 48.32%
    Chicago Fire 28.35%
    Draw 23.32%
DallasDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.095 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.076 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.35%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Dallas
Omsberg (38'), Espinoza (62'), Przybylko (69'), Casas (89')
Quignon (17'), Farfan (47')
May 3, 2020 1.30am
Sep 14, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
4-0
Dallas
Sapong (7', 29'), Frankowski (16'), Nikolic (39')

Pomykal (5')
Jul 15, 2018 1am
Gameweek 23
Dallas
3-1
Chicago Fire
Gruezo (27'), Acosta (74'), Ziegler (81' pen.)
Cannon (63')
Bronico (86')
Conner (39')
Conner (70')
May 26, 2017 1.30am
Chicago Fire
2-1
Dallas
Nikolic (3'), Accam (9')
Solignac (18'), Kappelhof (82')
Lamah (6')
Gruezo (21'), Guillen (23'), Hume (45'), Hedges (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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