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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
4 - 2
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (19'), Teran (37' og.), Rossi (45+1', 50')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Gutierrez (13', 22')
Oregel Jr. (37'), Zinckernagel (44'), Gutierrez (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-3 Nashville
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew will be aiming to make an early statement by emerging victorious on home turf here, and we can see them getting the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
54.41% (0.099000000000004 0.1) 21.74% (-0.041 -0.04) 23.85% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.67% (0.146 0.15)37.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.45% (0.155 0.16)59.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.084000000000003 0.08)13.78% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.92% (0.158 0.16)41.08% (-0.151 -0.15)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.038999999999987 0.04)28.67% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 54.41%
    Chicago Fire 23.85%
    Draw 21.74%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 23.85%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
5
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30am
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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