We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United
Having both dropped points from winning positions in their league openers, Chicago Fire and DC United will head into this weekend's clash looking to bounce back and get their campaign up and running. While home advantage gives the Fire an extra edge here, we predict that DC United will do just enough to leave with a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.