We said: Dallas 1-1 St Louis City
In the midst of winless streaks, both teams will fight hard for a victory in Sunday's meeting, and we anticipate a tight contest with the hosts particularly keen to bounce back under new management.
We put the two sides on a fairly level playing field and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Texas.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.