Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | St Louis City |
68.05% ( 0) | 19.16% ( -0) | 12.79% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.24% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0) | 44.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( 0) | 66.55% ( -0) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.04% | 11.95% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.65% ( 0) | 37.34% ( -0.01) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.79% ( -0) | 45.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.9% ( -0) | 81.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 12.18% 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.34% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.16% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.2% Total : 12.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |