Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
0 - 2
Los Angeles

Markanich (27'), Pompeu (58'), Blom (82'), Jackson (84'), Vassilev (90+2')
Markanich (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bouanga (59', 90+5')
Tillman (45+5'), Duenas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Vancouver
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles FC

St Louis City have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will fancy their chances on Wednesday as they take on a Los Angeles side whose form on the road is currently nothing to write home about. That said, we predict a cagey affair at Citypark, with St Louis claiming a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
33.08% ( 0.04)	25.03% ( -0.01)	41.89% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

0.04)

46.42% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

0.04)

68.7% (

-0.04)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

0.04)

26.89% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79% (

0.06)

62.21% (

-0.06)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

-0)

22.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5%

55.5% (

-0)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 33.08%

Los Angeles FC 41.89%

Draw 25.03%

St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89%