Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Pec (54'), Berry (90+4')
Aude (18')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Arango (20', 40')
Crooks (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 5 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Real Salt Lake

Although LA Galaxy have home advantage, we cannot ignore their indifferent form of late. In sharp contrast, Real Salt Lake have been building a head of steam, and that could help the visitors come through in a closely-fought fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Real Salt Lake
55.08% ( -5.3)	20.2% ( 1.71)	24.71% ( 3.59)

Both teams to score 68.4% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.17% (

-4.07)

28.83% (

4.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.23% (

-5.16)

49.77% (

5.16)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.22% (

-2.49)

10.77% (

2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22% (

-5.86)

34.77% (

5.86)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

0.23)

23.34% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

0.34)

57.3% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 55.08%

Real Salt Lake 24.71%

Draw 20.2%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.74) 3-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.77) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.54) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.55) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.58) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.41) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.41) Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( 1.12) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.2%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.85) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.84) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.62) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.71%