Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
40.64% | 24.13% | 35.23% |
Both teams to score 60.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.28% | 41.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.88% | 64.12% |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% | 20.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% | 53.29% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% | 23.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% | 57.41% |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |