

NY Red Bulls2 - 1Toronto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
41.15% | 25.69% | 33.16% |
Both teams to score 54.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% | 49.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% | 71.35% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% | 57.87% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% | 28.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% | 63.94% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.16% |