Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.