Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
