Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
63.46% | 20.71% | 15.83% |
Both teams to score 51.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.43% | 44.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.06% | 66.94% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.62% | 13.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% | 40.3% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% | 41.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.38% | 77.62% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-0 @ 11.11% 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 6.63% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 9.84% 0-0 @ 5.5% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.89% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |