Major League Soccer
Jul 1, 2022 at 1am UK
Red Bull Arena
We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United
In four previous visits to Red Bull Arena in MLS play, the Five Stripes have never found the back of the net, and even though they should have the ball for long stretches of this encounter, we do not see them finding a way through a backline, who have looked a lot stingier at home in recent games.
Combine that with the fact that the Red Bulls have scored three goals or more in four of their last five home contests, and you see why it might be difficult for Atlanta to contain a revitalized New York team in their own backyard.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.85% . A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.04% .
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.2%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%) , while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.29%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result New York Red Bulls Draw Atlanta United 48.85% ( -0.76) 26.11% ( 0.39) 25.04% ( 0.37)
Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.79)
45.01% ( -1.2) 54.99% ( 1.2)
23.73% ( -1) 76.26% ( 1)
77.45% ( -0.83) 22.54% ( 0.83)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.87% ( -1.26) 56.13% ( 1.26)
62.71% ( -0.34) 37.29% ( 0.34)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.93% ( -0.33) 74.07% ( 0.33)
New York Red Bulls 48.85%
Atlanta United 25.04%
Draw 26.11%
New York Red Bulls Draw Atlanta United 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.85% 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.11% 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.04%
How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Atlanta
New York Red Bulls
Draw
Atlanta United
29
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
1
Nkunku, Felix, Madueke all to drop out? Chelsea predicted lineup vs. Crystal Palace
2
One change from Southampton win? Crystal Palace predicted lineup vs. Chelsea
3
Tenerife vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Barbastro vs. Barcelona - prediction, team news, lineups
5
Valencia vs. Real Madrid injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
6
Szczesny debut? Araujo to start? How Barcelona could line up vs. Barbastro
7
Southampton vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Son 'expected' to stay at Tottenham, but should Levy sanction a new contract?
9
Huddersfield vs. Rotherham - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Transfer news and rumours today: Pereira to Marseille, McAtee to Celtic
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Ireland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. Japan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Italy vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Clippers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - prediction, team news, form guide