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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 1
Atlanta

Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta United

 Atlanta have developed a habit of tallying early, though they have struggled to maintain that intensity away from home for 90 minutes. For Toronto, they tend to react well and have shown more potency in the final third, so we expect if they suffer a setback, they will be able to recover. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
30% (-0.903 -0.9) 23.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 46.57% (0.94900000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.269 -0.27)40.29% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.278 -0.28)62.67% (0.279 0.28)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.699 -0.7)25.82% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.959 -0.96)60.79% (0.961 0.96)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.267 0.27)17.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.466 0.47)48.16% (-0.465 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 30%
    Atlanta United 46.57%
    Draw 23.42%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.151 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Toronto vs Atlanta

Toronto
35.1%
Draw
35.1%
Atlanta United
29.7%
37
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Toronto
Barco (20')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
1-0
Atlanta
Piatti (89')
Gonzalez (43')

Robinson (81')
Sep 13, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
P-P
Atlanta
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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