NY Red Bulls4 - 1DC United
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 DC United
Both sides will view this fixture as a winnable game as they look turn their fortunes around in the league and climb the table. Goals are to be expected at the Red Bull Arena and we can see the hosts building on their MLS Cup success in midweek by securing all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
50.87% ( 0.47) | 25.72% ( -0.15) | 23.4% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( 0.28) | 54.82% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( 0.23) | 76.12% ( -0.23) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.32) | 21.59% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.31% ( 0.49) | 54.68% ( -0.49) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.14) | 38.68% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.14) | 75.42% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.4% |
