Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
50.87% ( 0.47) | 25.72% ( -0.15) | 23.4% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% ( 0.28) | 54.82% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% ( 0.23) | 76.12% ( -0.23) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.32) | 21.59% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% ( 0.49) | 54.68% ( -0.49) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( -0.14) | 38.68% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% ( -0.14) | 75.42% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |