Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
5 | Inter Miami | 26 | -4 | 36 |
6 | Orlando City | 26 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.15% ( 0.14) | 23.93% ( 0) | 17.92% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.83% ( -0.22) | 54.16% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.42% ( -0.19) | 75.58% ( 0.18) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( -0.03) | 18.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.39% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.83% ( -0.32) | 44.16% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.74% ( -0.26) | 80.25% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |