Major League Soccer

Aug 21, 2022 at 1am UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Toronto

Mota (24'), Lassiter (44')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Insigne (28')
Bernardeschi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 NY City
Sunday, August 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Cincinnati	25	2	33
8	Inter Miami	25	-5	33
9	Orlando City	25	-8	33

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto

The significant big game experience of Insigne, Bernardeschi and Criscito has been invaluable to this Toronto team, and we expect the Reds to play with a greater sense of urgency in this one, knowing that they have virtually no room for error at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Toronto
43.15% ( -0.13)	24.78% ( -0.04)	32.07% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

0.26)

45.6% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

0.25)

67.92% (

-0.25)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

0.05)

21.18% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.94% (

0.08)

54.06% (

-0.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88% (

0.23)

27.12% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49% (

0.3)

62.5% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 43.15%

Toronto 32.07%

Draw 24.77%

Inter Miami	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.07%