Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.