Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
50.67% | 24.11% | 25.23% |
Both teams to score 54.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% | 46.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% | 69.04% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.51% | 18.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.3% | 49.7% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% | 32.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |