National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park
Chippenham3 - 1Dover Athletic
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Dover Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Chippenham Town | Draw | Dover Athletic |
37.76% ( -0.05) | 27.19% ( 0.02) | 35.05% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% ( -0.08) | 55.17% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( -0.07) | 76.41% ( 0.07) |
Chippenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( -0.07) | 28.29% ( 0.07) |