National League | Gameweek 41

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
5 - 1
Oldham

O'Connell (24'), Mullin (33', 70', 90+3'), Lee (50')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hogan (45+3')
Sheron (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Oldham Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

100

Top scorers

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Oldham
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Oldham Athletic

Wrexham have been almost flawless at the Racecourse Ground this season, even managing to push promotion-chasing Championship side Sheffield United very close in the FA Cup, and so it should be a relatively routine victory on Saturday. Earlier in the campaign, Parkinson's side defeated Oldham 3-0 at home in the FA Cup, but the Latics have improved since then, so it could be a more closely-contested game this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 10.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Oldham Athletic
74.06% ( 0.07)	15.64% ( -0.01)	10.3% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.72% (

-0.08)

34.28% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.82% (

-0.09)

56.18% (

0.1)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11%

7.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.07% (

-0.01)

27.94% (

0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.06% (

-0.15)

42.95% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

-0.13)

79.25% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 74.05%

Oldham Athletic 10.3%

Draw 15.64%

Wrexham	Draw	Oldham Athletic
2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 74.05%	1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.64%	1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.3%