National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
1 - 0
Southend

Arnold (38' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Miley (23'), Kensdale (39')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-4 Wrexham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Wrexham 3-0 Southend United

Wrexham have dispatched almost everybody who has come to North Wales this season, and despite Southend's playoff credentials, they should have no problems again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Southend United
65.33% ( -0.01)	19.34% ( 0)	15.33% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72% (

-0.01)

39.28% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.39% (

-0.01)

61.61% (

0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.73% (

-0)

11.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.13% (

-0.01)

35.87% (

0.01)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.54%

38.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.79% (

-0)

75.21% (

Score Analysis

Wrexham 65.32%

Southend United 15.33%

Draw 19.34%

Wrexham	Draw	Southend United
2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 65.32%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.34%	1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.33%