Nations League | League A
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
We said: Portugal 2-1 Spain
Spain's frontline did not cut the mustard against Switzerland, but Enrique's side always seem to have a knack for scoring goals, and they will be forced to go all out on that front if they are to stand a chance of progressing.
Such an approach will of course leave La Roja vulnerable to Portugal's pace on the counter, and the Selecao can take advantage to snatch victory and seal their place in the Nations League Finals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result |
Portugal | Draw | Spain |
41.81% ( -0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.23) | 33.66% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.9% ( 0.88) |