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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Portugal national football team

Spain
1 - 1
Portugal

Morata (25')
Sarabia (37'), Llorente (72'), Busquets (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horta (82')
Moutinho (38'), Silva (39'), Nunes (84'), Pepe (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Spain and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

Last Six:
Last Game: Switzerland 0-1 Spain
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Spain vs. Czech Republic
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Portugal

Last Six:
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Switzerland vs. Portugal
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Spain 1-1 Portugal

 This has all of the makings of a brilliant game of football, and it will be interesting to see how both sides are shaping up ahead of the World Cup. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win here, but we have a feeling that a tight fixture could end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Spain had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SpainDrawPortugal
36.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (0.032999999999994 0.03)49.64% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (0.032 0.03)71.66% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.040999999999997 0.04)26.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)61.59% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Spain 36.43%
    Portugal 37.68%
    Draw 25.88%
SpainDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.68%

How you voted: Spain vs Portugal

Spain
33.4%
Draw
15.9%
Portugal
50.7%
704
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2021 6.30pm
Spain
0-0
Portugal
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Portugal
0-0
Spain

Semedo (56')

Reguilon (44')
Jun 5, 2020 6.30pm
Spain
P-P
Portugal
Jun 15, 2018 7pm
Group B
Portugal
3-3
Spain
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