Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Glentoran had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Glentoran win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
