MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 00:10:30| >> :600:721291:721291:
France national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Canada national football team

France Women
1 - 2
Canada Women

Katoto (42')
Toletti (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fleming (58'), Gilles (90+12')
Lawrence (45+2')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between France Women and Canada Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: France Women 3-2 Colombia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Canada Women 2-1 New Zealand W
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
France WomenDrawCanada Women
46.23% (0.77099999999999 0.77) 25.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 27.85% (-0.728 -0.73)
Both teams to score 51.38% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)52.44% (0.227 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (-0.195 -0.2)74.12% (0.194 0.19)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.26300000000001 0.26)22.65% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.387 0.39)56.29% (-0.388 -0.39)
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.682 -0.68)33.57% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.75 -0.75)70.22% (0.74900000000001 0.75)
Score Analysis
    France Women 46.23%
    Canada Women 27.85%
    Draw 25.92%
France WomenDrawCanada Women
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: France Women vs Canada Women

France Women
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Canada Women
0.0%
8