Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 12pm UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
Honduras U23s0 - 1Romania U23s
Oliva Casildo (26'), Daniel Alvarez Rodas (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-23s win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Honduras Under-23s had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Honduras Under-23s win it was 2-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras Under-23s | Draw | Romania Under-23s |
| 18.78% | 20.86% | 60.36% |
| Both teams to score 56.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
