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[monks data]
Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Benevento logo

Parma
0 - 0
Benevento


Hernani (17'), Scozzarella (48'), Brunetta (73'), Kurtic (89')
FT

Ionita (34'), Barba (58'), Improta (83'), Tello (90+1')

Preview: Parma vs. Benevento - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Parma will be aiming to pull further away from the Serie A relegation zone when they host Benevento this weekend.

The Gialloblu's 2-1 win over Genoa on Monday lifted them three points clear of the bottom three and just one point and one place behind Sunday's opponents.


Match preview

Gervinho in action for Parma in June 2020© Reuters

The three points earned at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, courtesy of a brace from Gervinho, was only Parma's second league victory of the season and came at a vital time against their fellow strugglers.

After an 11th-placed finish in 2019-20, they have found life tough this season after appointing Fabio Liverani as manager in the summer.

The team have struggled for goals, with last season's top scorer Andreas Cornelius yet to get off the mark in the new campaign.

Parma average the lowest amount of shots per game in the division and only Genoa and Crotone have netted on fewer occasions.

However the Gialloblu have suffered defeat in just one of their four home games this season, and that came on the opening day against Napoli.

Benevento manager Filippo Inzaghi pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Yet Benevento will travel to Il Tardini with confidence after taking a point off reigning champions Juventus in a 1-1 draw last Saturday.

Gaetano Letizia equalised on the stroke of half time after Alvaro Morata had put Juve ahead, and Gli Stregoni battled well in the second half to keep the scores level.

After finishing rock bottom of Serie A and 17 points adrift of safety in their only other top-flight campaign in 2017-18, Benevento are making a much better fist of survival this time around under Pippo Inzaghi.

Only Torino have conceded more goals than the Campania-based side, but they have ground out victories against Sampdoria, Bologna and Fiorentina and are nearly halfway to their points total from two years ago already.

Parma Serie A form: LDDDLW
Parma form (all competitions): WDDLWW

Benevento Serie A form: LLLLWD
Benevento form (all competitions): LLLLWD


Team News

Parma manager Fabio Liverani pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Parma's win over Genoa came at a cost as Alberto Grassi, Riccardo Gagliolo and Vincent Laurini all suffered injuries that are likely to rule them out of Sunday's game.

With Giuseppe Pezzella also out injured, it could mean that Giacomo Ricci is handed a first appearance of the season at left-back, while Simone Iacoponi is another alternative.

Fabio Liverani may be hesitant to make too many other changes as he attempts to build momentum following their win at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

For Benevento, Pasquale Schiattarella is suspended after receiving his fifth yellow card of the season against Juventus.

Defenders Luca Caldirola and Christian Maggio were both forced off with injury last weekend and are set to be sidelined until 2021.

However in better news, left-back Daam Foulon is contention to return after missing the last two games with a shoulder problem.

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Busi, Osorio, Alves, Ricci; Kucka, Scozzarella, Kurtic; Karamoh, Gervinho; Cornelius

Benevento possible starting lineup:
Montipo; Letizia, Glik, Tuia, Foulon; Hetemaj, Tello, Improta; Insigne, Caprari; Lapadula


SM words green background

We say: Parma 2-2 Benevento

Both teams will have taken confidence from their results last weekend and will see this match as an opportunity to push further up the table. Parma have better quality in their side on paper, but Benevento have proven that they can grind out results and could take a point from their trip to Il Tardini.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37%. A win for Parma had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Parma vs Benevento

Parma
52.3%
Draw
33.5%
Benevento
14.2%
176
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Gervinho in action for Parma in June 2020
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